Potentially,
biological weapons can cause many thousands of casualties with the
use of a very small quantity of material. In terms of a threat to
human life they are on a scale comparable to a nuclear weapon as
a weapon of mass destruction, and some countries view them as the
strategic equivalent.
Biological weapons (BW) can be developed from living organisms (for
example, bacteria and viruses) or toxins (poisons) obtained from
these organisms. Given the right technological expertise biological
weapons are cheaper and easier to produce than nuclear weapons.
Recent developments in biotechnology in civil industry, mainly in
the pharmaceutical and veterinary medicine sectors, have made possible
the easier production, storage, and weaponisation of some types
of pathogenic organisms. Until the mid-1970s, while BW had some
military value, the state of scientific and technological development
was such that their effects were too unpredictable and the problems
of their storage and handling too great; consequently, other weapons
conferred greater advantages. The advances in civil industry, mainly
in the past twenty years, have made possible the production of weapons
that are more effective and have more predictable results. In particular,
biotechnological capabilities have now advanced to the point that
bacteria, viruses and toxins can be produced by synthetic means.
It is also easier to hide a BW program in civilian research and
production facilities than either a nuclear or chemical one. The
two biggest known post-World War II clandestine programs, in Russia
(beginning in the days of the Soviet Union) and Iraq, used this
technique. The hardest part of a BW program to conceal is the weapons
end of the process, when the organism or toxin is put into a missile
warhead, bomb, artillery round, or aerial spray tank. However, this
activity can be done shortly prior to the intended use to achieve
maximum surprise. Most at risk to these deadly weapons are unprotected
civilian populations. For example, studies have shown that a missile
delivering 30 kilograms of anthrax spores overhead an urban area
could kill between 80,000 and 100,000 people if they had no special
protection in an area of some 10 square kilometres. In comparison,
a 12.5 kiloton (Hiroshima-size) nuclear weapon delivered over a
similar area could kill between 23,000 and 80,000 people (but also
cause severe structural damage). For a chemical agent to be delivered
to achieve a similar casualty toll to the BW delivery described
above, many more kilograms of agent would be required. For example,
even three hundred kilograms of a highly lethal chemical agent,
such as sarin nerve gas, delivered over a similar target could kill
perhaps only 80 to 200 people and cover an area only a fraction
of that covered by ten times less (in weight) of anthrax.
The Biological Weapons Convention (BWC), which entered into force
in 1975, bans the research, development, production, stockpiling,
or acquisition of biological and toxin weapons. The convention also
bans delivery systems specifically designed for such weapons. While
the BWC deals only with possession of these weapons, use in warfare
was banned by the 1925 Geneva Protocol (which also similarly bans
the use of chemical weapons); although some States parties entered
reservations asserting the right to use such weapons if an enemy
State used them first, an absolute ban now exists as a matter of
customary law. The 1925 Protocol was itself derived from an ancient
customary law of war restricting the use of “poisonous”
weapons or substances in armed conflict that had first been codified
in the Hague Conventions of 1899 and 1907. To date 155 countries
have ratified or acceded to the BWC.
The BWC contains no provision for monitoring or inspection, but
there is a nonbinding “confidence-building” regime under
which States may make declarations about their facilities that handle
highly pathogenic organisms and give lists of publications which
deal with them. Between 1993 and 2001 there was an attempt to negotiate
a legally binding protocol for verification of compliance, including
inspections, but consensus on a text was not achieved. The tension
between the requirement for intrusive inspection measures and political,
economic and other national security demands prevented a successful
outcome.
While the United States and Britain had dismantled their BW programs
well before the BWC came into force, it came to light by 1990 that
the Soviet Union had been running an extensive illegal BW program.
They took advantage of the more recent developments in biotechnology
to carry their program forward to a much more advanced level. In
April 1992, President Boris Yeltsin of Russia publicly admitted
to the illegal BW program and announced a decree ending it. Convincing
proof that the program has been fully dismantled has yet to be provided.
Iraq, although a signatory to the BWC, never ratified it and developed
a comprehensive program using viruses, bacteria, and toxins. By
the time of Operation Desert Storm in 1991, which resulted in the
liberation of Kuwait, Iraq had missiles, aerial bombs, and artillery
filled with biological agents and ready to use. They also had research
and development programs on new agents and delivery means in progress.
Neither the United States nor Britain knew the scale and scope of
the program, but both took precautions, such as anthrax vaccination
programs for the troops and prophylactics against nerve agent attacks.
Britain also fielded a biological agent warning and detection system.
Coalition bombing targeted chemical weapons plants but left the
main BW sites untouched as the coalition was unaware of them.
Iraq only admitted to having a BW program in 1995 after more than
four years of investigations by United Nations inspectors. However,
Iraq still continued to hide important aspects of this weapons program
for several years. After the coalition invasion of Iraq in March
2003, no evidence of a continuing program was discovered
Other smaller programs existed or still exist in other parts of
the world. An example of one, now ended, was that in South Africa
run by the apartheid regime until the early 1990s. This was a relatively
small program aimed for assassination missions. However, it used
advanced biotechnological techniques and it is possible that some
of those who worked on the program have exported their skills elsewhere.
Biological weapons entered the realm of terrorism with the 2001
anthrax attack in the U.S. delivered through the mail system that
affected people in several states. Five people died and 22 people
were seriously ill. The perpetrator of this attack remains unknown.
There is clear evidence that some terrorist groups, such as al-Qaeda
and the Japanese Aum Shinrikyo, considered and experimented with
biological weapons but there have been no other lethal terrorist
attacks.

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